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Monday, October 23, 2006

Merrill Lynch - Reliance Industries


Strong operating performance but modest 2Q earnings rise

Reliance (RIL) has achieved yet another strong operating performance in 2Q as reflected in the 23% YoY jump in EBITDA and 18% YoY rise in EBIT. The strong operating performance has been driven mainly by a 38% YoY jump in petrochemical EBIT. Strong petrochemical margins and volume growth boosted EBIT. Despite strong operating performance, 2Q net profit was up just 9% YoY due to a steep decline in other income and a sharp rise in depreciation, interest and income tax.

2Q earnings higher than MLe; surprise mainly in refining

RIL’s 2Q net profit growth at 9% YoY is higher than MLe and consensus by 5%. The earnings surprise is mainly attributable to refining EBIT being higher than expected. RIL has not accounted discount on sale of LPG and kerosene to oil PSUs of Rs2.0bn in 2Q as expected by us, which explains the higher EBIT.

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