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Monday, July 14, 2008

Pre Session Commentary - July 14 2008


The Indian Market is expected to have positive opening on the back of favorable global cues as Asian markets are trading in green and crude oil prices dropped in Asian trade. It dropped $1.65 to $143 a barrel. The Indian market on Friday closed in deep red on inflation data, which stood at 11.89% for the week ended June 28 as against 11.63% in earlier week and IIP number for the month of May, which declined at 3.8% as against 10.6% in same period of last year. Indian market opened on positive note due to the mixed cues from the global markets but soon it slipped with giving up its initial gains. Further after showing some volatility it lost more grounds to close in extremely negative territory. From the sectoral front, all indices closed in red and major selling witnessed among the frontline indices mainly the Capital Goods, IT, Metal, Power and Oil & Gas stocks. IT index closed with deep cut of more than 6% and Capital Goods and Power indices slipped by more than 4%. The BSE Sensex closed lower by 456.39 points at 13,469.85 and NSE Nifty ended down by 113.20 points at 4,049. We expect that market may remain voaltile during the trading session.

On Friday, the US market was closed in red on concern about the health of U.S. mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which send bank shares to an 11-year low. U.S. These two large US mortgage financing companies slumped on Friday on fears for their financial stability. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed lower by 128.48 points at 11,100.54 along with NASDAQ ended down by 18.77 points at 2,239.08 and S&P 500 index closed down by 13.90 points at 1,239.49.

Indian ADRs ended down. In technology sector, Infosys ended down by (13.30%) along with Satyam by (9.17%), Patni Computers by (4.74%) and Wipro dropped by (2.82%). In banking sector, ICICI bank and HDFC bank lost (7.38%) and (3.43%) respectively. In telecommunication sector, Tata Communication and MTNL ended down by (3.89%) and (2.46%)). Sterlite industries increased by (0.07%).

Today the major stock markets in Asia are trading firm. Japan’s Nikkei is trading higher by 146.21 points at 13,185.90, Hang Seng index is trading up by 113.57 points at 22,298.12 and Taiwan Weighted trading at 7,229.85 gained 14.91 points.

The FIIs on Friday stood as net seller in equity and in debt. The gross equity purchased was Rs1,988.40 Crore and the gross debt purchased was Rs28.60 Crore while the gross equity sold stood at Rs2,334.40 Crore and gross debt sold stood at Rs31.10 Crore. Therefore, the net investment of equity reported was (Rs345.90) Crore and net debt was (2.50) Crore.

Today, Nifty has support at 3,979 and resistance at 4,137 and BSE Sensex has support at 13,222 and resistance at 13,740.